2008年11月3日 星期一

1-1-1 14846-13370=1476

1-1 14330-12235=2095

1 13248-10567=2681

Total 14846-10567=4279

2nd Half 14846-12235=2611

Conclusion, we'll have new high

retrace target 14846-1476*1.618/2 = 13652

Total 9 waves target 21513 or 10946pts.

this # is not definite.

2008年10月31日 星期五

160c, today target 14444 / 13555
Mid term target 157, 167, 170.

2008 target SHS, 目標, 170, 233

Nov 13, Dec 7, Dec 31
let's see.

2008年10月30日 星期四

up used 54 weeks
down used 13 weeks

interesting?
60mins charts show 10567 - 13248 is all green in IB, and ran 5 wave in fox.

reconfirm HHI, and can confirm 5 waves ran.

this will be more easy.

A = 2681
B low = 12235 runs 3x 60mins from 13248 = 1013pts

C = Ax1.000=14916
C = Ax1.382=15940
C = Ax1.500=16256
C = Ax1.618=16572

Note: C can be C1, if we extend the trend :)
======
Daily. GRGR.... tom maybe green, open up run down, open down run down.
Today, expect a run of 124 down but not, means the hsi is seen a short term bottom(can be long term), heading up for more. For rebound, we use ABC. ABC have different size. at this moment, we don't know what size is it, so, we use 1:1 first.

A = 10567-13245,
C = 12235-14913

Target 14913

inside the C, it should run a 12345 where the135 can be 12345. we see the first 1 is jump. so, we're at C-3-3 right now. afternoon can be open higher then run down for C-3-4, and up again to finish C-3-3.

let's count the C-3-1 which start from 12235 to the high of first 30mins which is 13380. a total of 1145 points. The low of the first 30mins is 13158, if we add 1145pts, and it's 1.382, 1.5, and 1.618 times as the C-3-3 target, we get.

1: 14303
1.382: 14740
1.5: 14875
1.618: 15010

with this big ABC 1:1 = 14913, and small C-3-3 target max 15010.
we can set a short term target at 14900-5000 for now.
==================================================================
below is my original thought one week ago.

Just a thought.

resistant: 15500, 17300



below is Second thought

2008年10月29日 星期三

Top 13245, today runs abc retrace and down at 12235

if 5 = 1, 12235 + (11750-10567) = 13418

wish:
1. trend start from 12235 is another 5 wave up
2. trend start from 12235 is wave 3 if 11042-13245 is wave 1. and the target is at least 1:1 2203+12235 = 14438, 1.5 = 15540

what if not?

today trace down 13245-12235 = 1010

today if open higher, down 1000 or 1500

suppose tom open 12872-1000 = 11862, -1500 = 11362

2008年10月28日 星期二

today up 1580pts. finished all previous day down with more money traded.

it's a warning, it's ringing the bell

after we shot the bullet, we hear "Band" and we wait for a big .......

Today, ran a ABC rebounce, if nothing more, open higher, and we run the last ABC down.

suppose 14041 - 10567 = 3474
12642-3474 = 9168

looks okay!