2008年10月27日 星期一

10.27 Noon

today low = 10567

3 days, and we drop from 14041 to 10567 = 3474 where 8 trading days before drops 3890pts.

suppose we see bottom around 9xxx, 9xxx + 3500 = 12500-13500

======

oct 21, we got high on 15563, 2days 13431 = 2132
if we run 100%, = 13981(oct 23 high) - 2132 = 11849
if we run 200%, = 13981 - 2132x2 = 9717

======
From 31948, we see 4 down abc

First A 31948 - 25627 = 6321
First C 30094-20450 = 9644

for this picture, we should assume, the radio of the down trend is A = 6, C = 9, if 6321/9644 = 0.655

Second A = 26501 - 24050 = 2451
Second C = 24886-20977 = 3909
2451/0.655 = 3740. almost
2451/6x9 = 3677. almost

Third Aa = 23426 - 21429 = 1997
Third Ac = 22466-20305 = 2161
this is 1:1

Third Ca = 21521-19625 = 1896
Third Cc = 20781-16288 = 4493
this is 19:45

Third A = 23426 - 20305=3121
Third C = 21521-16288=5233
3121/6x9 = 4682, kind of less
3121/.655 = 4765, kind of less also.

Forth Aa = 20040-16516=3524
Forth Ac = 18258-14329=3929
this is 1:1

Forth Ca = 17260-14339=2921
Forth CC = 15563-10567=4996
2921/6x9 = 4382, kind of less
2921/.655 = 4460, kind of less also.

Forth A = 20040-14329=5711
Forth C = 17260-10567=6693
5711/6x9=8567
5711/.655=8719

The Forth C seems not enough. the low should be <8500 (17260-8719)

沒有留言: