2008年10月25日 星期六

USA drops from 14000 to low 7800 =35%
HK drops from 32000 to 14329 = 55%
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USA Drops from 9800 to tonight 8000 = 22.5%
HK Drops from 17260 to 12380 = 39.4%
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HSI weekly Plan A
26500-20977= 5523
23426-16288 = 7138
20040-12380 =7660 Seems enough.
if one more(26500-23426-20040 = ~3000 each top) so.
15400 - 5500 = 9900 or 15400 - 6773( [5523+7138+7660]/3) = 8627 final bottom

if 20040-12380 =7660 not enough, we can split it into 2.
20040-14329 = 5711
17260-5711=11549

each trend scan.
26500-24050 = 2450=A
24886-20977= 3909=C
3909/2450=159.5%

23426-20305=3121=A
21521-16288=5233=C
5233/3121=167.7%

20040-16516=3524=A
18376-14329=4047=C
4047/3524=114.8%

17260-14339=2921=A
15563-12380=3183=C
3183/2921=108.9%

15563-13370=2193=A
14041-2522=11519=C

For above 2 Analyze, bottom around 11500

each bottom scan.
july 2008 = 20977
aug 2008 = 20305
sept 2008 = 16288
oct 2008 = 12380
oct have 2 bottom so far,
A=14329
B=12380
so, 14329-12380=1949
16288-14329=1959

20305-16288 = 4017
16288-12380=3908

For bottom scan, 12380 may be the bottom already.

HSI weekly Plan B
23426-20305=3121=C1
21521-16288=5233=C3-1
20040-14329=5711 =C3-3
17260-12380(new low? if 5=1, should be 17260-5233=12027) =4880= C3-5
then C4a, C4b, C4c, C51 to C55 blah blah blah down to 8xxx again.
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So,
plan A, we get 11500, or 12380
plan B, we get 12000

both of them are lower than the current low except the bottom scan.

monday open lower, target 12000, 11500, if open high(not likely), wait double bottom to buy.

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